Poll: Baldwin leads GOP challenger by double digits in Wisconsin

Wisconsin Sen. Tammy BaldwinTammy Suzanne BaldwinBiden launches program to turn out LGBTQ vote We need a ‘9-1-1’ for mental health — we need ‘9-8-8’ Democrats introduce bill to rein in Trump’s power under Insurrection Act MORE (D) leads her Republican challenger, Leah Vukmir, by double digits ahead of November’s midterms, according to a new poll.

The Marquette Law School survey of likely voters released Wednesday found Baldwin with the support of 53 percent of Wisconsinites, while Vukmir trails at 43 percent. The poll shows a 1-point swing in Vukmir’s favor between September and October, with just 3 percent of voters remaining undecided between the two candidates.

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Among all registered voters, the numbers are strikingly similar, with Vukmir receiving 42 percent support compared to a steady 53 percent for the Democratic incumbent.

The race previously appeared much closer, with an August poll from Marquette finding Vukmir and Baldwin separated by just 2 percentage points.

The results are a bright spot for Democrats eager to hold on to Senate seats in states where President TrumpDonald John TrumpSenate advances public lands bill in late-night vote Warren, Democrats urge Trump to back down from veto threat over changing Confederate-named bases Esper orders ‘After Action Review’ of National Guard’s role in protests MORE defeated Hillary ClintonHillary Diane Rodham ClintonWhite House accuses Biden of pushing ‘conspiracy theories’ with Trump election claim Biden courts younger voters — who have been a weakness Trayvon Martin’s mother Sybrina Fulton qualifies to run for county commissioner in Florida MORE in 2016. The party would need to gain a net of two seats to take back the upper chamber, but Republicans face a much easier electoral map and are increasingly bullish on their chances of keeping the Senate or even expanding their majority.

Trump edged out Clinton in Wisconsin two years ago, winning 47 percent of the vote compared to her 46 percent.

In 2012, Baldwin she won 51 percent of the vote compared to 45 percent for her Republican challenger.

Marquette’s latest poll was conducted between Oct. 3-7 and surveyed 1,000 Wisconsin voters, 799 of whom said they were likely to vote in November. The margin of error for all voters is 3.6 percentage points, while the margin of error for the subset of likely voters is 3.9 percentage points. 

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